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May 16, 2023

Dairy vs Non-Dairy

The Pros and Cons of Plant-Based Milk Alternatives

Milk and milk products have long been an important dietary staple, especially in Europe, North America, and other Western countries. Typically sourced from cows, goats, buffalos, or ewes, among other animals, dairy milk provides critical vitamins and minerals and is used in products ranging from creams and cheeses to candies, salad dressings, and deli meats. 



However, dairy’s dominance of the milk market may be starting to wane. As consumers look for more sustainable products, many are turning to plant-based alternatives to reduce or completely replace their consumption of dairy milk.


Made by grinding beans, nuts, or other plants such as almonds, soy, oats, cashews, and rice, plant-based milk alternatives offer consumers similar taste, texture, and nutritional value as dairy milk. While the end product varies depending on the plants and other ingredients used, the demand for plant-based milk is steadily growing.


This article will examine the pros and cons of these plant-based milk alternatives against traditional dairy milk while highlighting some of the differences between different types of milk and milk products.


The Global Market for Milk and Plant-Based Milk Alternatives

While the market for plant-based milk is growing rapidly, it still trails the massive market for traditional dairy milk. In 2020, the global dairy products market was valued at over $468 billion, with continued growth expected to increase the total to $642 billion by 2030. 


Asia-Pacific, with its large population, growing middle class, and increasing levels of urbanization, leads the way as the world’s largest market for milk. In the US, on the other hand, demand for milk decreased before remaining fairly flat. The category fell 15 percent between 2012 and 2017, before growing only 0.4 percent per year from 2017 to 2022


In comparison, the market for plant-based milk alternatives was valued at $13.2 billion in 2020, with the global market expected to grow to $55.4 billion by 2031. Once again, Asia-Pacific is leading the way, accounting for 45 percent of the global market. Specifically, China is among the most prominent markets for milk alternatives in the world. 


Advantages of Plant-Based Milk Alternatives

Lower Greenhouse Gas Emissions Than Dairy Milk

According to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization, the dairy industry’s carbon emissions made up 3.4 percent of the world’s total emissions. As we recently highlighted in an article comparing meat vs. meat alternatives, livestock, and especially cows, emit high levels of methane, carbon dioxide, and other greenhouse gases (GHGs). This problem is made worse as forests and other valuable natural landscapes are cleared to make room for animal farming and grazing. 


While the impact of each alternative depends on the ingredients used, across the board, plant-based milk alternatives lead to fewer GHG emissions than traditional dairy. For example, one report found that a 200 ml glass of dairy milk emits 0.63 kg of GHGs, compared to 0.2 kg for soy, 0.18 kg for oat, and only 0.14 kg for almond. 


Per glass, cow’s milk releases more than three times as much GHG emissions than plant-based alternatives. 


Reduced Land and Water Usage

GHGs are only one part of the environmental equation when it comes to comparing different types of milk. Land and water use, as well as the pollution caused by the release of excess nutrients into water supplies, must also be considered to gain a complete understanding of how they stack up. 

Here, too, plant-based milks come out ahead of dairy. Easily the most significant advantage of non-dairy milks is that they require far less land to produce. For example, a single litre of dairy milk requires 8.95m2 of land, while oat, soy, and almond only require 0.76m2, 0.66m2, and 0.5m2 respectively.


Soybean crops are often associated with deforestation and land clearing, especially in places like Brazil. However, the vast majority of the world’s soy, more than 77 percent, goes toward animal feed, while only 2.1 percent is used in the production of soy milk. 


When it comes to freshwater usage, plant-based milks still have an advantage. On average, non-dairy milk uses two to twenty times less fresh water than dairy milk. As we’ll show, water usage is one of the areas where the type of plant-based milk you choose makes a significant difference.


Suitable for People With Health and Dietary Restrictions

Many people choose non-dairy milk for reasons beyond the environmental impact. Health concerns are among the most common, as many people are unable to process the lactose present in dairy milk. It is estimated that 68 percent of the world’s population has some form of lactose malabsorption, which can lead to intolerance. While people from Northern Europe are more likely to be able to absorb and process lactose, many people from Africa and Asia can not. 


Of course, some people are unable to consume plant-based milk, as soy, almond, and cashews are all common allergens. 


Beyond health reasons, many people may not consume dairy or animal products based on ethical concerns about the well-being of animals, religious or cultural reasons, or other dietary restrictions. 


Disadvantages of Plant-Based Milk Alternatives 

Not All Alternatives Have Equal Environmental Impacts

As noted above, plant-based milks are better for the environment than dairy milks. However, which one is best depends on what is important to you, as each impact the environment differently depending on how they are produced. 


The differences are most pronounced in terms of freshwater usage. A litre of cow’s milk requires an incredible 628.2 litres of fresh water to produce, taking into account water usage across the entire supply chain. Rice milk, by comparison, requires 269.8L, while the biggest savings come from oat and soy, which only need 48.2L and 27.8L respectively.


Among plant-based milks, almond milk requires the most water, with a litre of almond milk needing 371.5L to produce. With roughly 80 percent of the world’s almonds grown in California, a region prone to long droughts and currently experiencing shortages of fresh water, this is a significant concern. 

Looking at other environmental indicators, oat milk requires more than twice as much land as rice milk, while rice milk releases more than four times as many nutrients into surrounding ecosystems. The excess release of nutrients is a damaging process known as eutrophication, which can destroy freshwater habitats and cause algal blooms that choke off other forms of life. 


Nutritional Differences

Dairy milk is an excellent source of protein, calcium, vitamins, and minerals. Not only that, but it is also fairly energy-dense and is a widely available food source for most people. Plant-based alternatives, however, lack some of these nutritional benefits, especially certain nutrients like potassium, protein, and vitamin D.


Most plant-based alternatives are fortified to make up for these deficiencies, but they often don’t provide everything that milk does. For example, a glass of dairy milk contains 8g of protein. Almond milk contains only 2g, while rice and coconut milk contain 0g. Rice milk, on the other hand, contains a surprising 22g of carbs, compared to only 12g for dairy and 1g for almond. 


In most cases, other sources of food more than makeup for these differences. However, people who rely heavily on milk for their dietary needs, such as those living in developing countries, may not be able to source enough vitamins and nutrients without dairy milk. Similarly, infants and toddlers may not get all the nutrition they need from plant-based milks. 


Consumer Preference and Suitability to Other Products

So far, we’ve mostly compared dairy and plant-based milks. But milk is used across a wide range of products, and not all of these are equally suited to plant-based alternatives. Consumer preferences and taste will play a big part in whether plant-based alternatives can make a significant dent in the global dairy market.


In one 2018 survey by Cargill (a company with significant interests in dairy production), 55 percent of participants said taste was their top priority when buying dairy products. When looking at specific products, non-dairy cheese still lags behind other products when it comes to consumer preferences. One survey found that nearly three in four consumers always opt for the dairy version of cheese, compared to 68 percent who choose the dairy version of butter and 66 percent who prefer dairy ice cream. 


Age is also an important factor when comparing consumer preferences. The same survey found that 80 percent of adults over the age of 55 consume dairy products multiple times per week, compared to just 67 percent of those aged 18-34. 


The Future of Plant-Based Milk Alternatives

While still small compared to the global dairy market, plant-based milk alternatives are growing in popularity, availability, and market share. Continuous innovation is resulting in new products, improved quality and taste, and a wide range of choices for customers looking to reduce or replace their dairy intake. 


With significant environmental advantages, plant-based milk alternatives are an attractive choice for those looking to reduce their environmental impact or who have health or dietary restrictions that prevent them from consuming dairy.


Though the advantages vary depending on the ingredients and there are some differences in nutrition, taste, and consumer preferences, it is likely that plant-based milk alternatives will continue to fill an important part of the global milk market for years to come. 

23 Dec, 2023
Context A CBC News article discussed the possibility of the Canadian economy heading into a recession, or whether the country has already passed that threshold. The article discussed this possibility based on slowed growth, high inflation, and the Bank of Canada’s continued interest rate hikes. Analysis A recession is a significant reduction in economic activity that occurs over a length of time, usually months or years. One of the most accepted definitions of a recession comes from the economist Julius Shiskin in 1974, who identified the threshold to an economic recession as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, although economists often argue about the comprehensiveness of this measure. The causes of a recession can be quite complicated and have many contributing factors. Some common examples include a sudden economic shock such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, excessive debt, asset bubbles, inflation, deflation, or large technological changes. One major factor influencing the probability of an economic recession includes rising interest rates from the Bank of Canada, which has implemented the highest hike in the shortest amount of time in all of the bank’s history, raising the rate over eight times since 2022. The Bank of Canada increased interest rates in order to curb inflation since rising interest rates discourage taking on debt and spending. This further encourages companies to lower prices or slow inflation to increase demand. Currently, the Bank of Canada is keeping at the 5.0 percent rate but has said that further hikes are not off the table as inflation may continue to exceed acceptable rates. Increases in interest rates can certainly contribute to or precede a recession. In fact, the Bank of Canada has raised interest rates three times to slow inflation since the 1960s and all three times this action led to an economic recession. Current fears of a looming economic depression are also not unique to Canada, as following the COVID-19 pandemic, the global inflation rate increased to 8.73 percent in 2021. This was due to supply chain issues, as well as the effect of the Russia-Ukraine War creating rising food and energy prices, as well as general fiscal instability. A majority of the World Economic Forum’s lead economists agreed earlier this year that we could see the beginning of a global recession starting in 2023, which would certainly affect the Canadian economy. The article also discusses the Canadian economy’s slowed economic growth, as the GDP has stagnated in the second quarter of this year. However, it suggests other factors may explain the decrease, including striking port workers in British Columbia, and the resulting negative effect on economic activity. An RBC report mentions how on a per-person GDP basis, there has already been a decline for four straight quarters despite a surge in population growth, and concludes overall predictions for GDP growth do not look promising despite local factors including Canadian wildfires and strikes. They also point to a 0.5 percent increase in the unemployment rate over the past few months, which has historically tended to indicate a looming recession.
21 Dec, 2023
Context The City of Ottawa Mayor, Mark Sutcliff released a statement about a revised plan for the redevelopment of Lansdowne, an urban public park containing historic landmarks and commercial venues. The project includes the demolition of a sports arena complex, stadium stands, and the building of a new event center, residential units, and retail space. Despite suggesting the new plan has addressed the concerns of residents, many issues remain. Analysis The City of Ottawa and the Ottawa Sports and Entertainment Group (OSEG) have been in partnership to develop Lansdowne since 2012 and finished an original redevelopment of the park back in 2014. A few years later in 2019, the financial sustainability of the park came to the city council’s attention, and in 2020 the partnership was extended another 10 years with direction to develop a new plan to revitalize Lansdowne. Consultation with community members started in 2020, with the original concept released last year in 2022, and a revised version released this month. Community feedback was acquired through various platforms including public information sessions, an open email for feedback, and public surveys. A summary report of that feedback was published on October 6th, which highlighted the six most common themes of community residents’ concerns. The first concern was related to the size and number of the multiple high-rise apartments which were designed to exceed 30 floors. In the new plan , they have removed one of the three planned buildings, with fewer total units in each, and only one tower with the potential to be built at 40 stories. Residents were also concerned about the loss of greenspace due to the new event center construction. Many people suggested they wanted that greenspace allocated elsewhere, or alternatively, an accessible greenspace roof on the event center. Although in the original plan the city had conceptualized a greenspace rooftop on the event center, this was scrapped in the new plan as it was deemed too expensive to maintain. Respondents wanted a restriction of vehicles to the premises to promote pedestrian safety, a concern that has existed since Lansdowne was first renovated back in 2014. They also wanted more public transportation infrastructure to and from the park, whether that is the local city buses, trains, or cycling infrastructure to reduce congestion on connecting roads. Relatedly, residents also desired more accessible public use space from washrooms to water fountains to usable and free space for people to occupy. The new plan has reduced the number of parking spaces for the residential buildings to meet the Bylaw limit of 0.4 spaces per unit, down from 739 to 336 spaces, while they added 36 new spaces for the event center. In terms of accessible public space, the new plan includes 27,000 square feet of space originally earmarked for the third residential building, now available for an unspecified “public realm.” Residents also wanted more local and less corporate or big-box businesses, to reflect the unique local community better. The new plan does suggest the amount of retail space has been reduced from 108,000 square feet to 49,000 square feet but does not directly address the desire to attract smaller, local businesses. Finally, there was also a concern about financial transparency of how the project is being funded and the resulting impact on the City. The Federation of Citizens Association (FCA) which represents over 70 community groups voted unanimously to oppose the new plan, which comes with a very costly price tag of $419 million, increased from $332 million of the first plan. They cite that the debt comes at a time when the transit system is facing major issues, and the city is struggling with a housing affordability crisis.
20 Dec, 2023
Context Newly elected Premier of Alberta Danielle Smith has defended her cabinet which is coming under fire over conflict-of-interest concerns. Environment and Protected Areas Minister Rebecca Schulz’s husband, Cole Schulz , may be lobbying the government in the areas that the Minister works in. Cole Schulz's firm is working on removing the protection of a threatened caribou range to make room for the oil and gas industry – which has raised concerns over who has Minister Schulz’s ear. Analysis The company that Cole Schulz is a partner with, Garrison Strategies, was hired by the Explorers and Producers Association of Canada and is working to influence the government on the issuing of reclamation certificates for oil and gas sites. The lobbyists are working to gain more access to protected caribou habitats to expand the oil and gas industry. They are hoping to “ address the moratorium on tenure in caribou regions ” which would effectively give them better access to land and investments. The Little Smoky and A La Peche herds in northwest Alberta were protected by a moratorium in 2013 which stopped the granting of new energy leases in this area. At the time, 95 percent of the herd’s range was heavily damaged. Phillip Meintzer of the Alberta Wilderness Association found that though records show that Garrison didn’t contact Environment and Protected Areas directly, the firm’s causes are “ too close for comfort ”. Meintzer also notes that as Garrison works on opening the protected caribou land for Alberta Energy, Environment and Protected Areas should be working on a protection plan for the federally and provincially designated threatened animal . Minister Schulz is working closely with the ethics commissioner, however, Danielle Smith confirmed that “ the ethics commissioner has looked at it, given guidance and there’s no violation [of the Conflicts of Interest Act]”. Cole Schulz also indicated that his firm wasn’t aware that Minister Schulz breached the Act at any time. Meintzer suggests that this situation “ calls for a further look ” from a third party. Sources https://globalnews.ca/news/9988998/alberta-premier-danielle-smith-rebecca-schulz/
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