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May 12, 2023

Buses, Subways, and Public Transit

What Role do Buses and Subways Play in Public Transit?

The Advantages and Limitations of Buses and Subways   

Public transportation is essential for connecting people to essential services, bringing them to work, and enabling social gatherings. Whether it’s buses or subways, public transit enhances the quality of life for community members. They’re also the best way to reduce transportation-related emissions by decreasing the number of cars on the road. 



Buses and subways connect cities; however, they have many advantages with a few limitations. Some cities have high enough population density to warrant a subway system, whereas in rural areas it’s not possible. This article will evaluate what situations best suit the use of buses, subways, or even both.


Ridership Costs

The cost of transportation to riders should be considered as areas that are densely populated, like New York City or Tokyo, typically have lower costs. However, in some countries, governments do not subsidize the cost of building such infrastructure. For example, a large majority of people in London don’t use public transit due to the high cost of a ticket, currently around $4.00, making driving a more attractive option. This not only continues to keep costs high due to depressed demand, but it also mitigates the effects of reduced emissions as more people choose personal vehicles. 


The actual cost (or revenue for the agency) for riders is a factor to consider when weighing transportation options. Cities like Tokyo, which has a high cost of living, have fairly low transit costs at $1.50. On the other, a ticket will cost around $4.60 in Copenhagen, $2.80 in NYC, and $2.40 in Toronto. The city with the lowest price for public transit is Cairo at just $0.20. This cost is analyzed together as cities that have both transit options, have one fee.


Advantages of Buses 

Lower Operational Costs 

The most common type of bus in the USA is fueled by diesel. These busses have an initial cost of around $550,000. Some cities have implemented hybrid buses, which cost on average $714,000. While the initial cost is relatively the same around the country, the operating costs vary. For example, in New York City, hourly operating costs are $215, whereas in San Diego it’s only $90/hour. The overall lifetime cost of a diesel bus is estimated at $1.25 million, which includes maintenance, gas, and other expenses. 

On a per passenger basis, the cost of running a bus is extremely variable as it depends on how many people are on board. When a bus has 6 passengers, it costs the agency $20 per passenger, whereas if the bus is full, it only costs around $2 per passenger. 


Positive Environmental Impact 

Taking any form of mass transportation is a very effective way for people to reduce their emissions. A typical diesel bus emits 229,167 pounds of CO2 emissions annually, whereas a single gas car, carrying far few people, emits 10,141 pounds annually. If one person ditches their car for public transit, they can reduce their total emissions by around 30 percent. When considering that a bus transports thousands of people per day, the annual savings in emissions is 37 million metric tons of CO2

The dependency on fuel and decreased congestion would also cause a positive impact on the environment. Buses save 4.2 billion gallons of gas annually, which saves around 300,000 car fill-ups. They also save 865 million hours in travel time for commuters. 


Availability and Flexibility

For a busy city like New York, the annual ridership in 2019 was 557 million. With over 300 routes in the city, it is extremely efficient to get around. In other cities, such as Chicago, their bus system has 129 routes and has an annual ridership of 130 million. For smaller cities, like Green Bay, Wisconsin, there are far fewer routes, and, in turn, fewer rides – 14 bus routes with an annual ridership of 1.165 million. Buses are usually able to move 2,000 riders per hour when mixed in with traffic, and up to 8,000 in bus lanes. 

Depending on the area and population, the availability and flexibility of routes vary. The biggest issue with buses is the wait times, especially in less-popular routes/stops. Even in a big city like Houston, Texas, wait times have been observed to be as high as 60 minutes at certain stops. For popular routes, buses may come every 5-10 minutes. 


That said, buses are notoriously unreliable, either being too early, too late, or not showing up at all. There also isn’t a lot of flexibility with routes as they are set and cannot change based on rider needs. This means that riders may need to walk long distances to get to a stop or arrive at their destination. Buses are also not available at all hours of the day. Service will usually end around midnight to 1:00 AM before resuming service around 4:30-5:00 AM. 


Advantages of Subways

Increased Availability and Ridership 

The New York City Subway is one of the biggest in the world, with an average ridership of 5.7 million weekly, and 1.75 billion annually in 2016. With speeds varying from 15 mph to 30 mph and 472 stations, it is a very effective subway system. Comparatively, the Toronto Subway system, with 75 stations, moved 88 million passengers in 2019. Though Toronto is the biggest city in Canada, ridership doesn’t come close to that of NYC. Typically, subways can move 15,000 to 36,000 people per hour per route, but this is highly dependent on the number of cars and routes. 


The flexibility of subways is a huge weakness as they run on the same tracks every day and cannot be altered. This means that riders could still have a long commute after taking the subway. Therefore, subways are implemented in large cities as they already have a network of bus routes that connect the subway stations to smaller neighbourhoods. 


Unlike buses, the NYC subway is available 24 hours a day, which makes it extremely available for riders. After hours, between 12 am-5 am, the subway slows down which results in less frequent trains. For this system, you can expect wait times of 2.5 minutes between trains during rush hour, and about 5 minutes during off-peak times, a major advantage over busses. 


Low Operating Cost – High Initial Cost

The initial cost of implementing a subway is pricey. The cost of the Los Angeles Green Line, for example, was $712.3 million. To add lines to Toronto’s subway would cost $200-$400 million per kilometre. The hourly cost of operating the LA Metro is around $395, whereas the hourly operating cost for a much smaller Metro in Chicago is $145/hour. 


Though the initial cost of a subway system may seem high, the cost to build an additional lane on any major road is about $772,000. Similarly, the annual maintenance of roads is another expense. Metro Vancouver, for example, spends $235.31 million on road maintenance. To put it into perspective, building a subway system is not any more expensive than servicing Vancouver roads for a few years.


Decreased Emissions Over Time 

Like buses, subways can lower emissions due to the number of people they transport. The San Francisco subway only produces 125 grams of CO2 per passenger per mile (ppm). Compared to a standard vehicle, which emits 375 grams ppm, and buses, which emit 665 grams ppm when almost empty, or 85 ppm when full, subways are very carbon-efficient. 


However, the construction of subways also results in emissions, and it can take decades to offset them with the savings over passenger vehicles. The University of Toronto has found that emissions from the construction of the newest subway line in Toronto, completed in 2002, weren’t offset until 2020 – a full 18 years later. The total emissions created during construction amounted to 168,000 metric tons over 8 years. Line 4 is also a very small system, with a total track length of only 5.5 km, so you can only imagine how pollution-intensive building an entire system must be.   


How Cities Choose the Right Approach 

When cities are considering installing a public transit, factors such as area, population, and population density must be considered. Typically, cities with a higher density around the core would consider installing a subway system, whereas a city with a large area and lower population may not see a great enough return. 


With the proper infrastructure, like bus routes and hubs, a city with a more spread-out area would reap the benefits of a great bussing system. Like the rapid buses in LA, with the proper infrastructure, people agree that it is better than the subway system. With a low population density, there are often fewer benefits to a subway system. Installing a bussing system is also generally more cost and time effective than a subway. 


Installing a subway system is extremely expensive and takes several years. It is a huge investment for cities, and most require federal funding. If large cities find that their bus routes aren’t providing fast, efficient, and affordable transportation, then a subway could be the answer. 


Both forms of public transit are great at lowering transportation-related emissions and connecting cities. However, they are large investments and should be carefully considered before any construction begins.

23 Dec, 2023
Context A CBC News article discussed the possibility of the Canadian economy heading into a recession, or whether the country has already passed that threshold. The article discussed this possibility based on slowed growth, high inflation, and the Bank of Canada’s continued interest rate hikes. Analysis A recession is a significant reduction in economic activity that occurs over a length of time, usually months or years. One of the most accepted definitions of a recession comes from the economist Julius Shiskin in 1974, who identified the threshold to an economic recession as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP, although economists often argue about the comprehensiveness of this measure. The causes of a recession can be quite complicated and have many contributing factors. Some common examples include a sudden economic shock such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, excessive debt, asset bubbles, inflation, deflation, or large technological changes. One major factor influencing the probability of an economic recession includes rising interest rates from the Bank of Canada, which has implemented the highest hike in the shortest amount of time in all of the bank’s history, raising the rate over eight times since 2022. The Bank of Canada increased interest rates in order to curb inflation since rising interest rates discourage taking on debt and spending. This further encourages companies to lower prices or slow inflation to increase demand. Currently, the Bank of Canada is keeping at the 5.0 percent rate but has said that further hikes are not off the table as inflation may continue to exceed acceptable rates. Increases in interest rates can certainly contribute to or precede a recession. In fact, the Bank of Canada has raised interest rates three times to slow inflation since the 1960s and all three times this action led to an economic recession. Current fears of a looming economic depression are also not unique to Canada, as following the COVID-19 pandemic, the global inflation rate increased to 8.73 percent in 2021. This was due to supply chain issues, as well as the effect of the Russia-Ukraine War creating rising food and energy prices, as well as general fiscal instability. A majority of the World Economic Forum’s lead economists agreed earlier this year that we could see the beginning of a global recession starting in 2023, which would certainly affect the Canadian economy. The article also discusses the Canadian economy’s slowed economic growth, as the GDP has stagnated in the second quarter of this year. However, it suggests other factors may explain the decrease, including striking port workers in British Columbia, and the resulting negative effect on economic activity. An RBC report mentions how on a per-person GDP basis, there has already been a decline for four straight quarters despite a surge in population growth, and concludes overall predictions for GDP growth do not look promising despite local factors including Canadian wildfires and strikes. They also point to a 0.5 percent increase in the unemployment rate over the past few months, which has historically tended to indicate a looming recession.
21 Dec, 2023
Context The City of Ottawa Mayor, Mark Sutcliff released a statement about a revised plan for the redevelopment of Lansdowne, an urban public park containing historic landmarks and commercial venues. The project includes the demolition of a sports arena complex, stadium stands, and the building of a new event center, residential units, and retail space. Despite suggesting the new plan has addressed the concerns of residents, many issues remain. Analysis The City of Ottawa and the Ottawa Sports and Entertainment Group (OSEG) have been in partnership to develop Lansdowne since 2012 and finished an original redevelopment of the park back in 2014. A few years later in 2019, the financial sustainability of the park came to the city council’s attention, and in 2020 the partnership was extended another 10 years with direction to develop a new plan to revitalize Lansdowne. Consultation with community members started in 2020, with the original concept released last year in 2022, and a revised version released this month. Community feedback was acquired through various platforms including public information sessions, an open email for feedback, and public surveys. A summary report of that feedback was published on October 6th, which highlighted the six most common themes of community residents’ concerns. The first concern was related to the size and number of the multiple high-rise apartments which were designed to exceed 30 floors. In the new plan , they have removed one of the three planned buildings, with fewer total units in each, and only one tower with the potential to be built at 40 stories. Residents were also concerned about the loss of greenspace due to the new event center construction. Many people suggested they wanted that greenspace allocated elsewhere, or alternatively, an accessible greenspace roof on the event center. Although in the original plan the city had conceptualized a greenspace rooftop on the event center, this was scrapped in the new plan as it was deemed too expensive to maintain. Respondents wanted a restriction of vehicles to the premises to promote pedestrian safety, a concern that has existed since Lansdowne was first renovated back in 2014. They also wanted more public transportation infrastructure to and from the park, whether that is the local city buses, trains, or cycling infrastructure to reduce congestion on connecting roads. Relatedly, residents also desired more accessible public use space from washrooms to water fountains to usable and free space for people to occupy. The new plan has reduced the number of parking spaces for the residential buildings to meet the Bylaw limit of 0.4 spaces per unit, down from 739 to 336 spaces, while they added 36 new spaces for the event center. In terms of accessible public space, the new plan includes 27,000 square feet of space originally earmarked for the third residential building, now available for an unspecified “public realm.” Residents also wanted more local and less corporate or big-box businesses, to reflect the unique local community better. The new plan does suggest the amount of retail space has been reduced from 108,000 square feet to 49,000 square feet but does not directly address the desire to attract smaller, local businesses. Finally, there was also a concern about financial transparency of how the project is being funded and the resulting impact on the City. The Federation of Citizens Association (FCA) which represents over 70 community groups voted unanimously to oppose the new plan, which comes with a very costly price tag of $419 million, increased from $332 million of the first plan. They cite that the debt comes at a time when the transit system is facing major issues, and the city is struggling with a housing affordability crisis.
20 Dec, 2023
Context Newly elected Premier of Alberta Danielle Smith has defended her cabinet which is coming under fire over conflict-of-interest concerns. Environment and Protected Areas Minister Rebecca Schulz’s husband, Cole Schulz , may be lobbying the government in the areas that the Minister works in. Cole Schulz's firm is working on removing the protection of a threatened caribou range to make room for the oil and gas industry – which has raised concerns over who has Minister Schulz’s ear. Analysis The company that Cole Schulz is a partner with, Garrison Strategies, was hired by the Explorers and Producers Association of Canada and is working to influence the government on the issuing of reclamation certificates for oil and gas sites. The lobbyists are working to gain more access to protected caribou habitats to expand the oil and gas industry. They are hoping to “ address the moratorium on tenure in caribou regions ” which would effectively give them better access to land and investments. The Little Smoky and A La Peche herds in northwest Alberta were protected by a moratorium in 2013 which stopped the granting of new energy leases in this area. At the time, 95 percent of the herd’s range was heavily damaged. Phillip Meintzer of the Alberta Wilderness Association found that though records show that Garrison didn’t contact Environment and Protected Areas directly, the firm’s causes are “ too close for comfort ”. Meintzer also notes that as Garrison works on opening the protected caribou land for Alberta Energy, Environment and Protected Areas should be working on a protection plan for the federally and provincially designated threatened animal . Minister Schulz is working closely with the ethics commissioner, however, Danielle Smith confirmed that “ the ethics commissioner has looked at it, given guidance and there’s no violation [of the Conflicts of Interest Act]”. Cole Schulz also indicated that his firm wasn’t aware that Minister Schulz breached the Act at any time. Meintzer suggests that this situation “ calls for a further look ” from a third party. Sources https://globalnews.ca/news/9988998/alberta-premier-danielle-smith-rebecca-schulz/
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